El Nino / La Nina Rainfall Comparison

ENSO - El Niño / La Nina Information for Site 134

ENSO (El Niño Southern Oscillation) is the warming and cooling of the ocean water along the Equator in the Eastern Pacific Ocean near South America. The warm phase is called El Niño and the cold phase is called La Nina.

When the Eastern Pacific Ocean is 0.5 degrees Celsius above normal for 5 consecutive 3-month average periods, an El Niño is declared. When the Eastern Pacific Ocean is 0.5 degrees Celsius below normal for 5 consecutive 3-month average periods, a La Nina is declared.

The El Niño and La Nina are declared as Weak, Moderate, or Strong depending on how far from normal the water temperature gets. When the temperature is above 1.5 degrees Celsius, it is declared as strong. When the temperature is above 1.0 degrees Celsius, it is declared as Moderate. When the temperature is above 0.5 degrees Celsius, it is declared as Weak.

The effect on Ventura County trends to be wetter with El Niños and drier with La Ninas. Although the top driest years have been Neutral or Weak or Moderate El Niños.

Data for calculating ENSO Index (ONI) is provided by the Climate Prediction Center.


Strongest El Niños

#Water
Year
IntensitySiteSeason
Total
Percent
Normal
12016+2.5134B - Matilija Dam16.2057.4%
21998+2.3134B - Matilija Dam64.80229.5%
31983+2.1134B - Matilija Dam58.65207.8%
41973+2.0134A - Matilija Dam45.91162.6%
51958+1.7134 - Matilija Dam53.35189.0%
61992+1.6134B - Matilija Dam34.27121.4%
71966+1.5134 - Matilija Dam30.84109.2%

Top 10 Wettest Years

#Water
Year
SiteENSO StateIntensitySeason
Total
Percent
Normal
12005134B - Matilija DamWeak El Niño+0.774.44263.7%
21969134 - Matilija DamModerate El Niño+1.070.04248.1%
31998134B - Matilija DamStrong El Niño+2.364.80229.5%
41978134B - Matilija DamWeak El Niño+0.863.04223.3%
51993134B - Matilija DamNeutral+0.360.35213.8%
61983134B - Matilija DamStrong El Niño+2.158.65207.8%
71995134B - Matilija DamModerate El Niño+1.058.17206.1%
81958134 - Matilija DamStrong El Niño+1.753.35189.0%
91967134 - Matilija DamNeutral-0.549.52175.4%
101973134A - Matilija DamStrong El Niño+2.045.91162.6%

Strongest La Ninas

#Water
Year
IntensitySiteSeason
Total
Percent
Normal
11974-1.9134A - Matilija Dam22.1678.5%
21989-1.8134B - Matilija Dam13.6548.4%
31976-1.6134A - Matilija Dam20.8573.9%
42000-1.6134B - Matilija Dam26.8395.0%

Top 10 Driest Years

#Water
Year
SiteENSO StateIntensitySeason
Total
Percent
Normal
12007134B - Matilija DamModerate El Niño+1.09.2332.7%
22002134B - Matilija DamNeutral-0.210.1035.8%
31987134B - Matilija DamModerate El Niño+1.211.4740.6%
41951134 - Matilija DamWeak La Nina-0.811.7641.7%
52013134B - Matilija DamNeutral-0.411.8542.0%
61990134B - Matilija DamNeutral+0.112.4644.1%
71953134 - Matilija DamWeak El Niño+0.712.9145.7%
81961134 - Matilija DamNeutral0.013.2847.0%
91949134 - Matilija DamN/AN/A13.3947.4%
101989134B - Matilija DamStrong La Nina-1.813.6548.4%