El Nino / La Nina Rainfall Comparison

ENSO - El Niño / La Nina Information for Site 063

ENSO (El Niño Southern Oscillation) is the warming and cooling of the ocean water along the Equator in the Eastern Pacific Ocean near South America. The warm phase is called El Niño and the cold phase is called La Nina.

When the Eastern Pacific Ocean is 0.5 degrees Celsius above normal for 5 consecutive 3-month average periods, an El Niño is declared. When the Eastern Pacific Ocean is 0.5 degrees Celsius below normal for 5 consecutive 3-month average periods, a La Nina is declared.

The El Niño and La Nina are declared as Weak, Moderate, or Strong depending on how far from normal the water temperature gets. When the temperature is above 1.5 degrees Celsius, it is declared as strong. When the temperature is above 1.0 degrees Celsius, it is declared as Moderate. When the temperature is above 0.5 degrees Celsius, it is declared as Weak.

The effect on Ventura County trends to be wetter with El Niños and drier with La Ninas. Although the top driest years have been Neutral or Weak or Moderate El Niños.

Data for calculating ENSO Index (ONI) is provided by the Climate Prediction Center.


Strongest El Niños

#Water
Year
IntensitySiteSeason
Total
Percent
Normal
12016+2.5 - N/AN/A
21998+2.3063B - Upper Sespe - Pine Mountain Inn NWS61.80N/A
31983+2.1063B - Upper Sespe - Pine Mountain Inn NWS49.50N/A
41973+2.0063B - Upper Sespe - Pine Mountain Inn NWS26.10N/A
51958+1.7063 - Upper Sespe - Choro Grande Ranch46.28N/A
61992+1.6063B - Upper Sespe - Pine Mountain Inn NWS37.40N/A
71966+1.5063A - Upper Sespe - Pine Mountain Inn26.40N/A

Top 10 Wettest Years

#Water
Year
SiteENSO StateIntensitySeason
Total
Percent
Normal
11998063B - Upper Sespe - Pine Mountain Inn NWSStrong El Niño+2.361.80N/A
21941063 - Upper Sespe - Choro Grande RanchN/AN/A60.71N/A
31969063A - Upper Sespe - Pine Mountain InnModerate El Niño+1.060.02N/A
42005063B - Upper Sespe - Pine Mountain Inn NWSWeak El Niño+0.759.40N/A
51978063B - Upper Sespe - Pine Mountain Inn NWSWeak El Niño+0.856.91N/A
61995063B - Upper Sespe - Pine Mountain Inn NWSModerate El Niño+1.053.40N/A
71983063B - Upper Sespe - Pine Mountain Inn NWSStrong El Niño+2.149.50N/A
81993063B - Upper Sespe - Pine Mountain Inn NWSNeutral+0.349.40N/A
91958063 - Upper Sespe - Choro Grande RanchStrong El Niño+1.746.28N/A
101938063 - Upper Sespe - Choro Grande RanchN/AN/A40.53N/A

Strongest La Ninas

#Water
Year
IntensitySiteSeason
Total
Percent
Normal
11974-1.9063B - Upper Sespe - Pine Mountain Inn NWS16.10N/A
21989-1.8063B - Upper Sespe - Pine Mountain Inn NWS11.60N/A
31976-1.6063B - Upper Sespe - Pine Mountain Inn NWS23.61N/A
42000-1.6063B - Upper Sespe - Pine Mountain Inn NWS22.70N/A

Top 10 Driest Years

#Water
Year
SiteENSO StateIntensitySeason
Total
Percent
Normal
11965063 - Upper Sespe - Choro Grande RanchWeak La Nina-0.84.18N/A
22002063B - Upper Sespe - Pine Mountain Inn NWSNeutral-0.28.30N/A
32007063B - Upper Sespe - Pine Mountain Inn NWSModerate El Niño+1.08.32N/A
41951063 - Upper Sespe - Choro Grande RanchWeak La Nina-0.88.65N/A
51990063B - Upper Sespe - Pine Mountain Inn NWSNeutral+0.19.00N/A
61948063 - Upper Sespe - Choro Grande RanchN/AN/A10.34N/A
71949063 - Upper Sespe - Choro Grande RanchN/AN/A10.85N/A
81987063B - Upper Sespe - Pine Mountain Inn NWSModerate El Niño+1.211.10N/A
91989063B - Upper Sespe - Pine Mountain Inn NWSStrong La Nina-1.811.60N/A
101968063A - Upper Sespe - Pine Mountain InnWeak La Nina-0.812.34N/A