El Nino / La Nina Rainfall Comparison

ENSO - El Niño / La Nina Information for Site 122

ENSO (El Niño Southern Oscillation) is the warming and cooling of the ocean water along the Equator in the Eastern Pacific Ocean near South America. The warm phase is called El Niño and the cold phase is called La Nina.

When the Eastern Pacific Ocean is 0.5 degrees Celsius above normal for 5 consecutive 3-month average periods, an El Niño is declared. When the Eastern Pacific Ocean is 0.5 degrees Celsius below normal for 5 consecutive 3-month average periods, a La Nina is declared.

The El Niño and La Nina are declared as Weak, Moderate, or Strong depending on how far from normal the water temperature gets. When the temperature is above 1.5 degrees Celsius, it is declared as strong. When the temperature is above 1.0 degrees Celsius, it is declared as Moderate. When the temperature is above 0.5 degrees Celsius, it is declared as Weak.

The effect on Ventura County trends to be wetter with El Niños and drier with La Ninas. Although the top driest years have been Neutral or Weak or Moderate El Niños.

Data for calculating ENSO Index (ONI) is provided by the Climate Prediction Center.


Strongest El Niños

#Water
Year
IntensitySiteSeason
Total
Percent
Normal
12016+2.5122 - Ventura-Kingston Reservoir12.6969.0%
21998+2.3122 - Ventura-Kingston Reservoir49.68270.3%
31983+2.1122 - Ventura-Kingston Reservoir41.30224.7%
41973+2.0122 - Ventura-Kingston Reservoir25.59139.2%
51958+1.7122 - Ventura-Kingston Reservoir23.00125.1%
61992+1.6122 - Ventura-Kingston Reservoir24.18131.6%
71966+1.5122 - Ventura-Kingston Reservoir16.9091.9%

Top 10 Wettest Years

#Water
Year
SiteENSO StateIntensitySeason
Total
Percent
Normal
11998122 - Ventura-Kingston ReservoirStrong El Niño+2.349.68270.3%
22005122 - Ventura-Kingston ReservoirWeak El Niño+0.742.86233.2%
31983122 - Ventura-Kingston ReservoirStrong El Niño+2.141.30224.7%
41978122 - Ventura-Kingston ReservoirWeak El Niño+0.840.89222.5%
51995122 - Ventura-Kingston ReservoirModerate El Niño+1.039.53215.1%
61941122 - Ventura-Kingston ReservoirN/AN/A38.10207.3%
71952122 - Ventura-Kingston ReservoirWeak El Niño+0.534.10185.5%
81993122 - Ventura-Kingston ReservoirNeutral+0.333.78183.8%
91969122 - Ventura-Kingston ReservoirModerate El Niño+1.031.52171.5%
101962122 - Ventura-Kingston ReservoirNeutral-0.228.67156.0%

Strongest La Ninas

#Water
Year
IntensitySiteSeason
Total
Percent
Normal
11974-1.9122 - Ventura-Kingston Reservoir17.2693.9%
21989-1.8122 - Ventura-Kingston Reservoir10.3056.0%
31976-1.6122 - Ventura-Kingston Reservoir15.1682.5%
42000-1.6122 - Ventura-Kingston Reservoir18.48100.5%

Top 10 Driest Years

#Water
Year
SiteENSO StateIntensitySeason
Total
Percent
Normal
11961122 - Ventura-Kingston ReservoirNeutral0.05.4029.4%
22007122 - Ventura-Kingston ReservoirModerate El Niño+1.05.7331.2%
31990122 - Ventura-Kingston ReservoirNeutral+0.16.8037.0%
42014122 - Ventura-Kingston ReservoirNeutral-0.57.0138.1%
51948122 - Ventura-Kingston ReservoirN/AN/A7.1038.6%
61959122 - Ventura-Kingston ReservoirWeak El Niño+0.67.8142.5%
71987122 - Ventura-Kingston ReservoirModerate El Niño+1.28.3245.3%
82002122 - Ventura-Kingston ReservoirNeutral-0.28.4546.0%
92018122 - Ventura-Kingston ReservoirWeak La Nina-1.08.6246.9%
101951122 - Ventura-Kingston ReservoirWeak La Nina-0.89.1149.6%